Tuesday 06/16/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Tuesday 06/16/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Black Widow

MLB | Jun 16
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals:

Kansas City Royals -140

Widow's MLB Free Pick for Tuesday:

1* on Kansas City Royals -140
(List Meche)

Gil Meche is pitching his best baseball of the season right now. Meche is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA over his last 3 starts for the Royals. He has given up only 3 earned runs in 20 innings during this span, striking out 20 batters in the process. Arizona starter Doug Davis lasted just 4 innings in his last start against the San Francisco Giants. Davis is only 5-22 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. Arizona is 10-24 (-12.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. Kansas City is 21-9 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. The Royals are heating up, winning 4 of their last 5 games and their only loss was a 1-run setback in Cleveland. Take Kansas City on the Money Line.
 
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Info Plays

MLB | Jun 16

Detroit Tigers vs. St. Louis Cardinals:

Detroit Tigers -120

Info Plays Tuesday, June 16th Bonus Play:

3* on Detroit Tigers -120
(Listing Verlander)

Reasons why the Tigers win:

1.) Justin Verlander. The righty has returned to his ?Ace? form this season, going 7-2 with a 3.02 ERA. Verlander is really killing it recently, going 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA in his last 3 starts which included a complete game his last time out and 8 scoreless innings two starts ago. The Tigers have won 5 of 6 meetings with St. Louis over the last 3 seasons.

2.) Detroit is 14-3 against the money line in road games after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals have lost 7 of their last 10 games and they are not scoring enough runs to win right now. St. Louis is putting up just 3.0 RPG through six interleague games this season. The Tigers are 41-10 in their last 51 interleague games as the favorite, and Detroit is 7-1 in Verlander's last 8 starts as a favorite. Bet the Tigers on the road.
 
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John Martin

MLB | Jun 16

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres:

Seattle Mariners -145

Martin's Tuesday MLB Bonus Play:

1 Unit on Seattle Mariners -145
(Listing Hernandez Only)

Seattle is 9-3 in all meetings with the Padres over the last 3 seasons, including a PERFECT 6-0 in all games played in San Diego. I'll back Felix Hernandez and the Mariners every time in this spot. Herndandez is 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA this season, and he's been even better on the road where he is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA away from home. The righty has been mowing down hitters frequently of late, going 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in his last 3 starts. Those 3 starts featured road games at Baltimore and at the Angels, along with a home game against the Twins. Hernandez gave up just 2 earned runs in 20.7 innings of work in those 3 outings. Hernandez is 10-2 after giving up 1 earned run or less in his last start since 1997. The Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 interleague starts. The Padres are 2-14 in their last 16 interleague games as an underdog. Cash in with Seattle as the favorite.
 
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Vernon Croy

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | Jun 16

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs:

Chicago Cubs -154

Take the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and this would be a premium play for me if it wasn't over my strict personal limit of a -150 opening line. Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.39 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs and he has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 0.89 while allowing just 5 hits and 1 earned run over his last 2 starts. John Danks (4-5, 4.81) get's the start for the White Sox and he has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.40 while giving up 4 homeruns. The White Sox are just 1-4 in their last 5 games after a win and they are just 2-8 in Danks last 10 starts as a underdog. The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and they are 10-2 in Zambrano's last 12 starts in game 1 of a series. The White Sox are just 1-6 in their last 7 games played at Wrigley and the Cubs are 6-1 in Zambrano's last 7 starts after a quality start in his last outing. Take the Chicago Cubs as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday night.
 
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INTERLEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (30-34) at Chicago Cubs (30-30)

The Cubs and White Sox renew their Windy City rivalry at Wrigley Field, with ace Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.39 ERA) scheduled to pitch for the home team opposite John Danks (4-5, 4.81) in the opener of a three-game series.

The Cubs put the brakes on a four-game losing skid and salvaged a weekend series against Minnesota with a 3-2, walk-off victory Sunday. The Cubs are 24-8 in their last 32 home games against lefty starters and 5-2 in their last seven after an off day, but they remain in slumps of 1-6 in interleague action, 1-5 versus the A.L. Central (all this season) and 1-4 versus southpaw starters.

The White Sox took Monday off after winning the final two games of a weekend series in Milwaukee, prevailing 7-1 on Saturday and 5-4 on Sunday. Ozzie Guillen’s squad enters this series on streaks of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 after an off day, 8-2 in interleague contests and 7-2 versus the N.L. Central.

The Cubs have won nine of the last 13 meetings in this rivalry, including six of the last seven at Wrigley Field. Last year, the teams split a pair of three-game series, with the host winning all six games.

Zambrano scattered a run on three hits over eight innings at Houston on Tuesday, but got a no-decision in his team’s 2-1 loss. The right-hander has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all but one of his 10 starts this season, going 1-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three trips to the mound and 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA in four home efforts this season.

With Zambrano on the hill, the Cubs are on upticks of 7-3 overall, 26-11 when playing on grass, 4-1 against the A.L. Central and 10-2 in series openers. Against the White Sox in his career, Big Z is 5-2 with a 4.45 ERA over 11 appearances (nine starts).

Danks was a tough-luck loser in Detroit on Wednesday, allowing two runs on five hits over 7 1/3 innings, but falling 2-1. The left-hander has just three quality starts in his last nine outings, with his team losing five of those contests. He’s 3-2 with a hefty 5.79 ERA in six road games in 2009.

The White Sox are 5-2 in Danks’ last seven road starts, but 2-5 in his last seven against the N.L. and 3-7 in his last 10 Tuesday outings. His only start against the Cubs came last June, and he gave up just a run in six innings, but the White Sox lost 4-3 at Wrigley.

Zambrano’s last four starts have stayed under the total, but otherwise with the veteran pitching, the “over” is on streaks of 8-3 at home, 7-1 in interleague play, 4-0 on Tuesday and 5-2-1 when he pitches against the White Sox. Also, the over is 4-1 in Danks’ last five road outings.

The White Sox are riding “under” streaks of 11-3-1 overall, 5-1-1 in interleague play (all on the road), 7-1-1 against right-handed starters and 10-4-1 in series openers. The Cubs carry “under” trends of 22-8 overall, 7-2 at home, 4-1 on Tuesday, 5-1 after an off day, 5-1 against lefty starters and 9-3-1 when opening a series. Conversely, the over is 6-2 in the last eight Sox-Cubs clashes at Wrigley.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Detroit (34-29) at St. Louis (34-30)

Justin Verlander (7-2, 3.02 ERA) guns for his eighth consecutive victory when he leads the Tigers against the Cardinals and Adam Wainwright (6-4, 3.49) in the opener of a three-game interleague series at Busch Stadium.

Detroit is 4-4 on its current 11-game road trip, losing consecutive games at Pittsburgh on Saturday and Sunday by scores of 9-3 and 6-3, respectively. The Tigers have scored exactly three runs in four straight games and a total of 14 runs in their last five. Still, they’re on runs of 45-19 in interleague play, 13-6 in interleague road games, 23-11 against the N.L. Central, 16-5 as a favorite, 23-7 as a road favorite and 41-10 as a chalk against the National League.

St. Louis is coming off Sunday’s 3-0 loss at Cleveland, dropping to 3-7 in its last 10 games. Despite the presence of slugger Albert Pujols, the Cardinals have scored three runs or fewer in 22 of their last 32 games, including seven of the last 10. Tony LaRussa’s club has dropped four straight home games, six consecutive series openers and four in a row after an off day.

Since losing to the Redbirds in five games in the 2006 World Series, Detroit is 5-1 against St. Louis, all in interleague action the past two seasons. However, all six of those games were played in Motown. Since the start of the 2006 season, the home team has won 12 of the last 14 head-to-head clashes, with only three of those contests – Games 3, 4 and 5 of the ‘06 World Series – played in St. Louis.

Verlander has been as dominant as any pitcher in baseball over the past seven weeks, stringing together nine straight quality starts while going 7-0 with a 1.10 ERA (eight earned runs in 65 1/3 innings) with 83 strikeouts against just 16 walks. He’s tossed two complete games during this stretch, including a 2-1 victory at the White Sox on Wednesday when gave up just six hits, including a solo home run, and a walk while whiffing nine.

Detroit is 8-2 in Verlander’s last 10 starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the road, 6-1 in his last seven against the National League and 7-1 in his last eight as a favorite. The veteran right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last five roadies and 2-1 with a 4.68 ERA in four career starts (two regular season, two in the World Series) against St. Louis.

Wainwright knocked off Florida 13-4 on Wednesday, yielding all four runs and 11 hits in seven innings. The right-hander has completed at least six innings in 11 consecutive starts, allowing two earned runs or fewer in six of those contests and in eight of his 13 starts overall this season.
With Wainwright on the bump, the Cardinals are on streaks of 18-7 overall, 17-6 at home, 7-0 as an underdog, 5-1 on Tuesday and 21-5 against opponents that have a winning record.

Wainwright is just 2-3 in seven games at home this season despite a sterling 2.74 ERA. He’s never started against Detroit before, but he earned the save in the World Series-clinching 4-2 home win back in 2006, pitching one scoreless inning.

The Tigers are on a bunch of “under” streaks, including 20-7 overall, 4-1 on the road, 11-3-1 in interleague road games, 21-6 against right-handed starters, 11-2 on Tuesday, 4-0 as a favorite and 13-3-1 in series openers. Also, St. Louis is on “under” tears of 10-4 at home, 14-6-1 against right-handed starters, 5-0-1 against the American League, 6-0 in interleague home games, 37-18-5 after a day off and 7-1-2 in series openers.

Lastly, the under is 4-1 in the last five Tigers-Cardinals meetings at Busch Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER

Gametimepicks
 
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Dave Cokin

(963) HOUSTON ASTROS
(964) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(964) TEXAS RANGERS"

Wandy Rodriguez seems to be falling back into his old pattern of pitching well at home and getting roasted on the road. That's good news for the Rangers, who want to get back on track after dropping their weekend series with the Dodgers. With Kevin Millwood throwing for the hosts tonight, I like the Rangers to cash a winning ticket.
 
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Jim Feist

(951) ATLANTA BRAVES
(952) CINCINNATI REDS
Take "(952) CINCINNATI REDS"

Atlanta limps into town playing some bad baseball, losing 4 of 6 to the Pirates and Orioles -- not exactly powerhouse teams. Righty Jair Jurrjens has hit a wall, at 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA his last three starts. Cincy ace Aaron Harang still has it, with a 67-20 strikeout to walk ratio and 5 wins. He also ha a 3.48 lifetime ERA against the Braves. Play the Reds.
 

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khaliagent frees

FREE Regular Plays
MLB#Chicago White Sox +135 (1 unit)
MLB#Baltimore Oriles -120 (1 unit)
WNBA#Sacramento Monarchs -2 -108 (1 unit)

Paid picks in the other thread, should probably stop posting these free picks.
 

Say Hello To My Little Friend, Steve Puppet!
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Al DeMarco has a release:

Interleague Run Line Blowout

5 Dime Release

If you're reading this, the game hasn't started

25-12 Best Bet Run (20-9 last 29)

My side wins by 5 runs or more
 

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Vernon Croy

-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | Jun 16

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs:

Chicago Cubs -154

Take the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and this would be a premium play for me if it wasn't over my strict personal limit of a -150 opening line. Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.39 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs and he has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 0.89 while allowing just 5 hits and 1 earned run over his last 2 starts. John Danks (4-5, 4.81) get's the start for the White Sox and he has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.40 while giving up 4 homeruns. The White Sox are just 1-4 in their last 5 games after a win and they are just 2-8 in Danks last 10 starts as a underdog. The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and they are 10-2 in Zambrano's last 12 starts in game 1 of a series. The White Sox are just 1-6 in their last 7 games played at Wrigley and the Cubs are 6-1 in Zambrano's last 7 starts after a quality start in his last outing. Take the Chicago Cubs as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday night.
 

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RON RAYMOND’S 5* INTER-LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK!

Pick # 1 Milwaukee Brewers /Cleveland Indians Under 8.5 115
 

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John Martin

MLB | Jun 16

Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres:

Seattle Mariners -145

Martin's Tuesday MLB Bonus Play:

1 Unit on Seattle Mariners -145
(Listing Hernandez Only)

Seattle is 9-3 in all meetings with the Padres over the last 3 seasons, including a PERFECT 6-0 in all games played in San Diego. I'll back Felix Hernandez and the Mariners every time in this spot. Herndandez is 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA this season, and he's been even better on the road where he is 3-1 with a 2.36 ERA away from home. The righty has been mowing down hitters frequently of late, going 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA in his last 3 starts. Those 3 starts featured road games at Baltimore and at the Angels, along with a home game against the Twins. Hernandez gave up just 2 earned runs in 20.7 innings of work in those 3 outings. Hernandez is 10-2 after giving up 1 earned run or less in his last start since 1997. The Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 interleague starts. The Padres are 2-14 in their last 16 interleague games as an underdog. Cash in with Seattle as the favorite.
 

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Any one want to throw in with me and JorCam to get some picks from youwinnow. If 3 more guys throw in $10 each, we could get $75 worth of plays
 

Who am I?
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Cajun Sports MLB 2* Complimentary Selection- Tuesday
Date/Time: Tuesday June 16 / 8:05PM EST
Sport/Type: MLB / Side
Game: Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers -140
Analysis:
Rangers Park in Arlington will be the site of this interleague battle between in-state rivals the Texas Rangers and the visiting Houston Astros. Both teams are riding small streaks the Astros have won their last two games after dropping the first in a three-game set against Arizona while the Rangers are riding a two-game losing streak after taking game one in a three-game series versus the LA Dodgers. Houston is 29-32 W/L (-2.5) on the season and 13-14 (+0.8) on the road. The Astros average 4.2 runs per game on the road while allowing their opponents to plate 5.1 runs per game. Houston’s bullpen has struggled when playing on the highway this season they have an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.751. Houston is hoping tonight’s starter Wandy Rodriguez can give them more than his 5.6 IP average on the road this season. He is 2-3 W/L with an ERA of 3.74 on the road and 0-2 W/L with an ERA of 7.02 (WHIP 1.860) in his last three trips to the bump overall. Wandy has managed to go 3-0 W/L versus Texas in his career with the last meeting coming at home against tonight’s starter Kevin Millwood for the Rangers back in June of 08 as the Astros got a 7 to 2 win. Millwood will certainly remember that start and be looking for a little revenge here tonight. Millwood is 4-1 W/L at home this season with an ERA of 2.19 and averages 7.0 innings per start. His bullpen has been better than Houston’s with an ERA of 4.88 at home and a WHIP of 1.471. Over his last three outings he has been superb posting a record of 2-0 W/L with an ERA of only 0.87 and a WHIP of 1.113. In his last start he won at home versus Toronto 1 to 0 pitching 7.7 innings giving up five hits in the win. His previous start before that was on the road at Boston where he pitched for 7 innings giving up 1 unearned run on seven hits in a 5 to 1 win. Texas has dominated this series over the last three seasons going 10-5 W/L including 3-0 W/L this season. In all games at Texas the last three years the Rangers are 4-2 W/L in the six meetings for +2.1 Units. The Rangers are also active in a MLB System that tells us to Play On MLB favorites of -110 or higher with a bullpen that converts on 75 percent or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season. This system has a record of 79-37 W/L over the last five seasons for 68.1 percent winners and a profit of +29.90 units. Houston is 0-10 W/L (-10.3) when Rodriguez takes the bump on the road versus teams whose batters draw three walks or less per game. Finally we see that the Rangers bounce back from losing two of their last three games by going 15-6 W/L (+11.4) this season. With the combination of fundamental and technical support for the Rangers we will back them here in game one of this series as they put an end to both teams’ recent streaks and put us in the winner’s circle on Tuesday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers 5 Houston Astros 2
 

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Anyone want to throw in with me and JorCam to get some picks from youwinnow.com. If 3 more guys throw in $10 each, we could get $75 worth of plays for $50
 

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