INTERLEAGUE
Chicago White Sox (30-34) at Chicago Cubs (30-30)
The Cubs and White Sox renew their Windy City rivalry at Wrigley Field, with ace Carlos Zambrano (4-2, 3.39 ERA) scheduled to pitch for the home team opposite John Danks (4-5, 4.81) in the opener of a three-game series.
The Cubs put the brakes on a four-game losing skid and salvaged a weekend series against Minnesota with a 3-2, walk-off victory Sunday. The Cubs are 24-8 in their last 32 home games against lefty starters and 5-2 in their last seven after an off day, but they remain in slumps of 1-6 in interleague action, 1-5 versus the A.L. Central (all this season) and 1-4 versus southpaw starters.
The White Sox took Monday off after winning the final two games of a weekend series in Milwaukee, prevailing 7-1 on Saturday and 5-4 on Sunday. Ozzie Guillen’s squad enters this series on streaks of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 after an off day, 8-2 in interleague contests and 7-2 versus the N.L. Central.
The Cubs have won nine of the last 13 meetings in this rivalry, including six of the last seven at Wrigley Field. Last year, the teams split a pair of three-game series, with the host winning all six games.
Zambrano scattered a run on three hits over eight innings at Houston on Tuesday, but got a no-decision in his team’s 2-1 loss. The right-hander has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all but one of his 10 starts this season, going 1-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three trips to the mound and 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA in four home efforts this season.
With Zambrano on the hill, the Cubs are on upticks of 7-3 overall, 26-11 when playing on grass, 4-1 against the A.L. Central and 10-2 in series openers. Against the White Sox in his career, Big Z is 5-2 with a 4.45 ERA over 11 appearances (nine starts).
Danks was a tough-luck loser in Detroit on Wednesday, allowing two runs on five hits over 7 1/3 innings, but falling 2-1. The left-hander has just three quality starts in his last nine outings, with his team losing five of those contests. He’s 3-2 with a hefty 5.79 ERA in six road games in 2009.
The White Sox are 5-2 in Danks’ last seven road starts, but 2-5 in his last seven against the N.L. and 3-7 in his last 10 Tuesday outings. His only start against the Cubs came last June, and he gave up just a run in six innings, but the White Sox lost 4-3 at Wrigley.
Zambrano’s last four starts have stayed under the total, but otherwise with the veteran pitching, the “over” is on streaks of 8-3 at home, 7-1 in interleague play, 4-0 on Tuesday and 5-2-1 when he pitches against the White Sox. Also, the over is 4-1 in Danks’ last five road outings.
The White Sox are riding “under” streaks of 11-3-1 overall, 5-1-1 in interleague play (all on the road), 7-1-1 against right-handed starters and 10-4-1 in series openers. The Cubs carry “under” trends of 22-8 overall, 7-2 at home, 4-1 on Tuesday, 5-1 after an off day, 5-1 against lefty starters and 9-3-1 when opening a series. Conversely, the over is 6-2 in the last eight Sox-Cubs clashes at Wrigley.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Detroit (34-29) at St. Louis (34-30)
Justin Verlander (7-2, 3.02 ERA) guns for his eighth consecutive victory when he leads the Tigers against the Cardinals and Adam Wainwright (6-4, 3.49) in the opener of a three-game interleague series at Busch Stadium.
Detroit is 4-4 on its current 11-game road trip, losing consecutive games at Pittsburgh on Saturday and Sunday by scores of 9-3 and 6-3, respectively. The Tigers have scored exactly three runs in four straight games and a total of 14 runs in their last five. Still, they’re on runs of 45-19 in interleague play, 13-6 in interleague road games, 23-11 against the N.L. Central, 16-5 as a favorite, 23-7 as a road favorite and 41-10 as a chalk against the National League.
St. Louis is coming off Sunday’s 3-0 loss at Cleveland, dropping to 3-7 in its last 10 games. Despite the presence of slugger Albert Pujols, the Cardinals have scored three runs or fewer in 22 of their last 32 games, including seven of the last 10. Tony LaRussa’s club has dropped four straight home games, six consecutive series openers and four in a row after an off day.
Since losing to the Redbirds in five games in the 2006 World Series, Detroit is 5-1 against St. Louis, all in interleague action the past two seasons. However, all six of those games were played in Motown. Since the start of the 2006 season, the home team has won 12 of the last 14 head-to-head clashes, with only three of those contests – Games 3, 4 and 5 of the ‘06 World Series – played in St. Louis.
Verlander has been as dominant as any pitcher in baseball over the past seven weeks, stringing together nine straight quality starts while going 7-0 with a 1.10 ERA (eight earned runs in 65 1/3 innings) with 83 strikeouts against just 16 walks. He’s tossed two complete games during this stretch, including a 2-1 victory at the White Sox on Wednesday when gave up just six hits, including a solo home run, and a walk while whiffing nine.
Detroit is 8-2 in Verlander’s last 10 starts overall, 5-1 in his last six on the road, 6-1 in his last seven against the National League and 7-1 in his last eight as a favorite. The veteran right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last five roadies and 2-1 with a 4.68 ERA in four career starts (two regular season, two in the World Series) against St. Louis.
Wainwright knocked off Florida 13-4 on Wednesday, yielding all four runs and 11 hits in seven innings. The right-hander has completed at least six innings in 11 consecutive starts, allowing two earned runs or fewer in six of those contests and in eight of his 13 starts overall this season.
With Wainwright on the bump, the Cardinals are on streaks of 18-7 overall, 17-6 at home, 7-0 as an underdog, 5-1 on Tuesday and 21-5 against opponents that have a winning record.
Wainwright is just 2-3 in seven games at home this season despite a sterling 2.74 ERA. He’s never started against Detroit before, but he earned the save in the World Series-clinching 4-2 home win back in 2006, pitching one scoreless inning.
The Tigers are on a bunch of “under” streaks, including 20-7 overall, 4-1 on the road, 11-3-1 in interleague road games, 21-6 against right-handed starters, 11-2 on Tuesday, 4-0 as a favorite and 13-3-1 in series openers. Also, St. Louis is on “under” tears of 10-4 at home, 14-6-1 against right-handed starters, 5-0-1 against the American League, 6-0 in interleague home games, 37-18-5 after a day off and 7-1-2 in series openers.
Lastly, the under is 4-1 in the last five Tigers-Cardinals meetings at Busch Stadium.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER
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